
Stephen DeAngelis
Supply chain professionals cringe whenever the topic of disruptions is raised. Disruptions make their jobs much more difficult. Freelance writer Marharyta Golobrodska observes, “Supply chain risks are factors that can interrupt the movement of goods, services, and information across a supply network. They can come from internal problems (such as process or quality issues) or from external events like geopolitical instability, natural disasters, cyberattacks, economic changes, or supplier breakdowns.”[1] Listing every possible source of disruption would be impossible. There are always new ways to surprise risk managers lurking around the corner. Nevertheless, risk managers would be delighted to have a glimpse about what might be sneaking up on them before it actually appears. Unfortunately, supply chain journalist Marina Mayer reports that a significant majority of organizations “are not implementing advanced risk programs, primarily due to gaps in data and analytics.”[2] That’s a problem.
Maggie Slowik, global industry director for manufacturing at IFS, notes, “When a disruptive event occurs, decision processes often rely on manually compiling information from multiple sources or engaging external consultants to assess changing conditions. By the time mitigation plans are agreed, supplier lead times, freight availability or commodity prices may already have shifted again. This reactive approach is increasingly difficult to sustain.”[3] Before more closely examining that problem, let’s look at the types of risks organizations need to monitor.
Seven Basic Supply Chain Risk Types
Golobrodska suggests there are seven broad categories of risks that enterprises need to pay attention to. They are:
1. Financial risk. There is a reason that Golobrodska lists financial risks first. Every organization is concerned about their bottom line. She explains, “Financial risks are caused by unfavorable economic factors that involved parties can control to a greater or lesser extent. For instance, these risks include unexpected or adverse fluctuation in exchange rates, sudden cost increases, credit issues, or bankruptcy of the involved company.”
2. Geopolitical risk. Geopolitical risks are a growing threat to every supply chain. Golobrodska observes, “This type of supply chain risk encompasses disruptions arising from political instability, regulatory changes, or trade restrictions.” How serious is this risk? McKinsey & Company analysts insist, “Intensifying geopolitical volatility has put multinational corporations at a crossroads: adapt or fade away.”[4] Verónica Rodríguez, Head of Communications at Trans.eu, bluntly states, “Geopolitical instability is now regarded as the single greatest threat to global supply chains.”[5]
3. Environmental risk. Anyone paying attention to headlines understands that climate change is creating havoc in most economic sectors. Golobrodska writes, “Environmental risks can be approached from two points of view. Firstly, environmental risk is represented by events related to natural disasters or climate changes that can disrupt supply chain operations. … A second aspect of environmental risk to the supply chain is that organizations can negatively impact water, air, and soil through discharges, emissions, and other forms of waste.”
4. Supply risk. The basic factors that impact business involve supply and demand. Concerning supply side risks, Golobrodska notes, “This risk arises when requested goods or services are unavailable or suddenly become scarce, insufficient, or delayed. … Healthy supply chains rely on suppliers. Poor supplier relationships and lack of accountability from the supplier's side can also threaten supply stability and lead to unexpected shortages.”
5. Demand risk. Even more important than supply side risks are demand side risks, which range from no customers to too many customers. Golobrodska explains, “Demand risks occur when customers' demand suddenly fluctuates, leading to over- or understocking of the company's inventory.”
6. Cybersecurity risk. Perhaps the most frightening risk faced by today’s digital enterprises is a cyberattack. The larger the organization the greater number of risk surfaces are exposed. Golobrodska writes, “Cybersecurity risk is a newer threat to supply chain stability. With rapidly evolving technologies and supply chain digitization, buying companies and suppliers face the risks of attacks on supply chain networks, like data leaks or security protocol breaches. Such attacks can result in compromised classified information and operational disruptions, leading to financial and reputational losses.”
7. Operational risk. Every organization relies on its people, its processes, and its technologies. There risks associated with each of these areas. Golobrodska explains, “Operational risks [are included in] the most comprehensive group. They are associated with internal processes and can be caused by inefficient workflows, human errors, and system failures.” She adds, “Legal and contract-related risks are also important to consider as a threat to supply-chain operations.”
Taken together, these risk areas might seem overwhelming. And, yet, Golobrodska correctly concludes, “To maintain supply chain resilience and ensure business continuity, it's vital to understand and simultaneously mitigate supply chain risks.”
Preparing to Act Rather than React
Risk managers know that doing nothing is a losing strategy. Many consultants today believe that reacting to emerging circumstances is also a losing strategy. Fortunately, Slowik notes, “This is where a new dynamic approach to supply chain management can help organizations react in real-time and adapt as conditions evolve.” Slowik knows that there is no crystal ball technology that can predict the future. She explains, “The aim today is not to predict every disruption, but for manufacturers to understand their available options at any given moment and act decisively when conditions change.”
To achieve that goal, Enterra Solutions® has developed the Enterra System of Intelligence®. This System ushers in a new era of AI-enabled management science by merging cutting-edge analytical techniques with a business’ data and knowledge to Sense, Think, Act, and Learn® on enterprise data to meet the changing needs of the market. Insights and recommendations generated by the Enterra System of Intelligence are acted upon through deep integrations with an organization’s established systems of record and engagement, akin to how the brain (decision-making) and central nervous system (actions) interact within the human body. Enterra’s system uniquely learns the environmental reasons that recommendations are successful or not and persists that learning in its Ontologies and Generative AI knowledge bases to improve future insights and recommendations. The business application modules included in the Enterra System of Intelligence are:
• Enterra Consumer Insights Intelligence System™. This System allows clients to quantitatively uncover and logically understand the inter-relationships that lead to heightened consumer understanding, hyper-personalized product recommendations, and new product innovation.
• Enterra Revenue Growth Intelligence System™ (ERGIS™). ERGIS systemically performs holistic revenue growth optimization (including optimizing strategic and tactical pricing, trade promotion, trade architecture, price pack architecture, media mix, customer segmentation, and assortment).
• Enterra Demand and Supply Chain Intelligence System™. This System concurrently performs non-linear demand and supply planning optimization.
• Enterra Business WarGaming™. Business WarGaming enables organizations to leverage their data to make strategic decisions by anticipating the moves of their competitors and taking direct action to beat the competition, mitigate risk, navigate uncertainty, and maximize market opportunity. Part of Enterra Business WarGaming is the Enterra Global Insights and Decision Superiority System™ (EGIDS™) — powered by Enterra's Autonomous Decision Science™ platform — which can help business leaders rapidly explore a multitude of options and scenarios.
Concluding Thoughts
The old adage that knowledge is power has never been more applicable. As Slowik notes, “The manufacturers that succeed in today’s disruptive environment will be those that can adapt faster than change unfolds. Continuous supply chain intelligence enables organizations to anticipate emerging risks, make informed decisions sooner and stay ahead, whatever the source of disruption.” Deloitte analysts add, “Resilience should be viewed not only as a way to reduce disruption, but as a source of strategic advantage. Companies with deeper visibility across the value chain can act earlier, adapt faster, and compete more effectively.”[6] The complexity of today’s supply chain coupled with the number of exposed enterprise risk surfaces requires the aid of artificial intelligence. Sumit Dutta, an analyst with Ernst & Young, reports, “Supply chain leaders are adapting to a more complex risk environment shaped by geopolitical uncertainty, evolving trade dynamics and hidden dependencies. … AI can strengthen risk awareness and decision-making while introducing new governance considerations. Organizations are focusing on resilience by identifying the critical capabilities needed to maintain operations and fulfill essential commitments during disruption.”[7]
Footnotes
[1] Marharyta Golobrodska, “7 Basic Types of Supply Chain Risks,” Procoro Blog, 17 June 2024.
[2] Marina Mayer, “Traditional Risk Management Systems Failing to Predict Supply Chain Disruptions,” Supply & Demand Chain Executive, 4 June 2026.
[3] Maggie Slowik, “Reactive Supply Chain Strategies Are No Match for Disruption,” SupplyChainBrain, 14 August 2026.
[4] Cindy Levy, Shubham Singhal, Matt Watters, Brooke Weddle, and Madeleine Goerg, “Managing geopolitical value at stake to seize opportunities while mitigating risk,” McKinsey & Company, 14 April 2026.
[5] Verónica Rodríguez, “Geopolitical Resilience: The 2026 Standard for Supply Chains,” Supply Chain Digital, 27 January 2026.
[6] Laura Bryce, Derek M. Pankratz, and Nirmal Kujur, “Beyond natural disasters: Building resilience across the value chain,” Deloitte Insights, 10 August 2026.
[7] Sumit Dutta, “Why resilient supply chains need greater risk awareness and AI,” EY Insights, 29 July 2026.
